If you’re inclined to believe Igor Panarin, and the Kremlin wouldn’t mind if you did, then President Barack Obama will order martial law this year, the U.S. will split into six rump-states before 2011, and Russia and China will become the backbones of a new world order.
Panarin might be easy to ignore but for the fact that he is a dean at the Foreign Ministry’s school for future diplomats and a regular on Russia’s state-guided TV channels. And his predictions fit into the anti-American story line of the Kremlin leadership.
“There is a high probability that the collapse of the United States will occur by 2010,” Panarin told dozens of students, professors and diplomats Tuesday at the Diplomatic Academy — a lecture the ministry pointedly invited The Associated Press and other foreign media to attend.
The prediction from Panarin, a former spokesman for Russia’s Federal Space Agency and reportedly an ex-KGB analyst, meshes with the negative view of the U.S. that has been flowing from the Kremlin in recent years, in particular from Vladimir Putin.
Putin, the former president who is now prime minister, has likened the United States to Nazi Germany’s Third Reich and blames Washington for the global financial crisis that has pounded the Russian economy.
Panarin didn’t give many specifics on what underlies his analysis, mostly citing newspapers, magazines and other open sources.
He also noted he had been predicting the demise of the world’s wealthiest country for more than a decade now.
. . .
It wasn’t clear how persuasive the 20-minute lecture was. One instructor asked Panarin whether his predictions more accurately describe Russia, which is undergoing its worst economic crisis in a decade as well as a demographic collapse that has led some scholars to predict the country’s demise.
Panarin dismissed that idea: “The collapse of Russia will not occur.”
But Alexei Malashenko, a scholar-in-residence at the Carnegie Moscow Center who did not attend the lecture, sided with the skeptical instructor, saying Russia is the country that is on the verge of disintegration.
“I can’t imagine at all how the United States could ever fall apart,” Malashenko told the AP.
Igor N. Panarin
As if Things Weren’t Bad Enough, Russian Professor Predicts End of U.S.
Professor Igor Panarin: When America fell to pieces the shouting was outrageous
Diplomatic Academy of the Russian Ministry for Foreign Affairs
Carnegie Moscow Center
/I wonder if Vegas or Ladbrooke are offering odds on Panarin’s ludicrous prediction fantasy, I’d bet several grand against it
Filed under: Blog Entry Tagged: | Alexei Malashenko, Barack Obama, Carnegie Moscow Center, China, Igor Panarin, KGB, Kremlin, Russia, Russian Diplomatic Academy Ministry Of Foreign Affairs, United States, Vladimir Putin