The End Is Near

Russian Scholar Says U.S. Will Collapse Next Year

If you’re inclined to believe Igor Panarin, and the Kremlin wouldn’t mind if you did, then President Barack Obama will order martial law this year, the U.S. will split into six rump-states before 2011, and Russia and China will become the backbones of a new world order.

Panarin might be easy to ignore but for the fact that he is a dean at the Foreign Ministry’s school for future diplomats and a regular on Russia’s state-guided TV channels. And his predictions fit into the anti-American story line of the Kremlin leadership.

“There is a high probability that the collapse of the United States will occur by 2010,” Panarin told dozens of students, professors and diplomats Tuesday at the Diplomatic Academy — a lecture the ministry pointedly invited The Associated Press and other foreign media to attend.

The prediction from Panarin, a former spokesman for Russia’s Federal Space Agency and reportedly an ex-KGB analyst, meshes with the negative view of the U.S. that has been flowing from the Kremlin in recent years, in particular from Vladimir Putin.

Putin, the former president who is now prime minister, has likened the United States to Nazi Germany’s Third Reich and blames Washington for the global financial crisis that has pounded the Russian economy.

Panarin didn’t give many specifics on what underlies his analysis, mostly citing newspapers, magazines and other open sources.

He also noted he had been predicting the demise of the world’s wealthiest country for more than a decade now.

. . .

It wasn’t clear how persuasive the 20-minute lecture was. One instructor asked Panarin whether his predictions more accurately describe Russia, which is undergoing its worst economic crisis in a decade as well as a demographic collapse that has led some scholars to predict the country’s demise.

Panarin dismissed that idea: “The collapse of Russia will not occur.”

But Alexei Malashenko, a scholar-in-residence at the Carnegie Moscow Center who did not attend the lecture, sided with the skeptical instructor, saying Russia is the country that is on the verge of disintegration.

“I can’t imagine at all how the United States could ever fall apart,” Malashenko told the AP.

See also:
Igor N. Panarin
Igor Panarin
As if Things Weren’t Bad Enough, Russian Professor Predicts End of U.S.
Professor Igor Panarin: When America fell to pieces the shouting was outrageous
Diplomatic Academy of the Russian Ministry for Foreign Affairs
Alexey Malashenko
Carnegie Moscow Center

Nothing like a heaping helping of anti-U.S. propaganda to keep the Russian population whipped up and keep their minds off Russia’s precarious economic predicament. As they say, once KGB, always KGB.

/I wonder if Vegas or Ladbrooke are offering odds on Panarin’s ludicrous prediction fantasy, I’d bet several grand against it


2 Responses

  1. Panarin’s belief in a trend of decline is correct, and it is systemic throughout US culture. However, collapse seems silly. The Communist empire ended, the Russians are still there. The British empire ended, the Brits are still there. The Chinese Dynasty ended, the Chinese are still there. The Japanese and German empires were defeated, and we rebuilt them!

    The US could have substantial popular revolt, martial law, and a complete roll-back of our global empire, but it is improbable it would break up or collapse. Furthermore, the Chinese and Russians wont want such a disorderly collapse – since who would control the 5000 nuclear weapons aimed at the two of them???

    Retrenchment, moral decay, economic collapse, yes, all possible. Break up? Absurd at best, stupid at worst.

  2. It is obvious that Panarin sought to make headlines which supports the theory that he was tasked to re-invigorate the Russian plebians. However, it does not undermine the basic truth that America does not seem to appreciate the gravity of world leadership.

    Similar dualistic messages emanated from America as to their state of affairs, which points to another truth, being the same as for Americans – also for the Russians.

    In summary, to actually move forward, the world will have to reveal their truths, being similar anyway, because it will empower everyone and expose manipulators and chancers.

    This will reduce our chaos and return order and synergy, but not someone’s boring old “world order”.

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