The Chum Is In The Water, I Repeat, The Chum Is In The Water


It’s going to be tough for Obama to get re-elected with poll numbers below 50%.

Several Core Constituencies Souring on Obama

President Barack Obama’s job approval rating is down to 42%, with a decline in approval from Democrats the leading factor.

The latest Zogby Interactive poll of 4,518 likely voters conducted from August 28-31 found 48% disapprove and 42% approve of the job Obama is doing. The poll found 75% of Democrats approve of Obama’s performance, a drop of 13 points among Democrats from an interactive poll done July 21-24 of this year. That same poll found 48% of all likely voters approving of Obama’s job performance, and 49% disapproving.

In the most recent poll, 8% of Republicans and 37% of Independents approve of Obama’s job performance. Both are down slightly from six weeks ago; two points among Republicans and three among Independents.

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that 30% of the nation’s voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty-one percent (41%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -11 (see trends).

Most voters now expect that the situation in Afghanistan will get worse over the next six months. That’s up fourteen points over the past month. At the same time, the number worried about a terrorist attack in the United States has declined.

The climate change legislation passed by the House of Representatives earlier this summer receives mixed reviews from the public.

The Presidential Approval Index is calculated by subtracting the number who Strongly Disapprove from the number who Strongly Approve. It is updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update). Updates also available on Twitter and Facebook.

Overall, 45% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President’s performance. That’s down a point from yesterday and the lowest level of total approval yet measured for Obama. Fifty-three percent (53%) now disapprove. See recent demographic highlights from the tracking polls.

In addition to our daily tracking, Rasmussen Reports has released a month-by-month review of the President’s Approval ratings. This allows a longer-term look at trends. In August, President Obama’s full-month ratings fell below 50% for the first time.

It’s going to be even tougher for Obama to get re-elected if he loses ground in or maybe even control of Congress.

Experts across the country are expecting Democratic losses during next year’s midterm election

All independent pollsters are now predicting Republicans will pick up seats in Congress. The Democrats have a 40 seat majority in the House and 10 seats in the Senate. The Republicans should be expected to pick up more than 20 seats in the House, and a handful in the Senate. That will allow the GOP to help put a halt on the liberal agenda that Obama, Pelosi, and Reid are attempting to enact. It has become clear that Democrats are beginning to realize their precarious situation with voters and that is why many are trying to pass things quickly through Congress.

Two things, as of now, will determine the outcome of the election. The first is healthcare reform and the second is the economy. If Democrats fail to pass healthcare reform, then they can only blame themselves. Americans do not want the public option, but the liberal politicians do. President Obama has made healthcare the centerpiece of his domestic agenda, so it’s defeat would be a severe blow to his agenda. If the American public and Republicans, coupled with some mainstream Democrats, rally to defeat the public option and prevent the expansion of big government, then that will be a victory and a major factor is the Democrats losing seats. Secondly the economy will be featured front and center. If unemployment is still high, the deficit is sky high, home prices still low, and inflation goes up, then the American people will realize that the economy now belongs to the Democrats and will vote them out. Now, the election is 14 months off still, but it is shaping up to be a year that the Republicans begin their march back to power.

See also:
Obama down to 46 percent in Rasmussen poll
‘Independents disapprove of Obama’
Obama Poll Numbers Crashing, Burning
Opinion: Obama poll numbers crash hard
Obama’s numbers drop as partisanship rises
Rasmussen poll numbers on Obama put health care reform in critical condition
Poll: More Wary of Obama on Health Care
Poll: Obama’s Ratings on Afghanistan Drop
Afghanistan quickly becoming Obama’s downfall in popularity, poll shows
Poll numbers has House Dems up against the ropes
Experts see Democrat midterm losses
House Democrats Could See Double-Digit Seat Losses, Experts Say
Midterm: Dems may lose control

With the war in Afghanistan not going particularly well, the economy still sputtering, out of control deficit spending, increasing taxes, and Obama and the Democrats’ continued insistance on pushing a controversial liberal agenda, including government run health care “reform”, the cap and trade boondoggle, and “card check”, all unpopular with the majority of American voters, it’s hard to see how they reverse the steady downward trend of their approval ratings.

/still, it’d be nice if the Republicans could find some strong leadership while they’re riding the Democrats’ wave of self-destruction

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